Thursday, March 22, 2007

Obligatory horserace post

Our bold prediction today? Mike Huckabee (R) v. John Edwards (D), with Edwards winning by a handful of electoral votes.

Why did I pass up the rest of the field? One at a time, Democrats first:

  • Joseph Biden: Senator jinx, more so than John Edwards, if only by a hair
  • Hillary Clinton: Senator jinx, too divisive
  • Barack Obama: Seen as a rookie, and frankly the U.S. will probably elect a Hispanic president before a black one
  • Al Gore: reached his plateau a year too early and knows it
  • Dennis Kucinich: Too far out there

And for the Repubs:
  • John McCain: Senator jinx, too old
  • Rudy Giuliani: Too moderate for the GOP
  • Ron Paul: Ditto, alas
  • Mitt Romney: Too Mormon
  • Tom Tancredo: Too crazy
UPDATE: Apparently Edwards will make some kind of announcement about his wife's health and his campaign at noon EST today. I wrote this before I knew, and I meant it as a viable prediction, not as satire. So please do not write me hate mail for somehow belittling her health problems.

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